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Definitive Analysis

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Handok Clean Tech Co., Ltd. (256150.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Pollution & Treatment ControlsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,596.34 - $5,483.94$4,480.52
Multi-Stage$7,757.80 - $8,528.59$8,135.67
Blended Fair Value$6,308.09
Current Price$6,020.00
Upside4.79%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%258.99258.99213.96146.8389.970.000.0016.160.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%21.05%45.71%63.20%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.42%3.49%2.84%1.27%0.55%0.00%0.00%0.17%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,134.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,929.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,204.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)626.81391.76235.05
Cash Retained (M)1,204.561,204.561,204.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-626.81-391.76-235.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)577.74812.80969.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.737.737.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share74.75105.16125.43
LTM Dividend per Share249.63249.63249.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share74.75105.16125.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend324.38354.79375.06
WACC / Discount Rate6.84%6.84%6.84%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3,596.34$4,480.52$5,483.94
Upside / Downside-40.26%-25.57%-8.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,134.053,102.713,071.683,040.973,010.562,980.453,069.87
Payout Ratio61.57%67.25%72.94%78.63%84.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,929.502,086.652,240.472,391.002,538.292,682.412,839.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.84%6.84%6.84%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,933.351,953.071,972.80
Year 2 PV (M)1,923.351,962.802,002.66
Year 3 PV (M)1,901.771,960.592,020.60
Year 4 PV (M)1,870.601,948.132,028.05
Year 5 PV (M)1,831.571,926.952,026.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)50,502.5153,132.2955,870.50
Equity Value (M)59,963.1662,883.8465,920.86
Shares Outstanding (M)7.737.737.73
Fair Value$7,757.80$8,135.67$8,528.59
Upside / Downside28.87%35.14%41.67%

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