Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Hikari Food Service Co Ltd (138A.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$933.90 - $1,350.41$1,136.47
Multi-Stage$1,547.47 - $1,699.74$1,622.13
Blended Fair Value$1,379.30
Current Price$2,386.00
Upside-42.19%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)128.41
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)39.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)88.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25.6816.059.63
Cash Retained (M)88.7988.7988.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-25.68-16.05-9.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)63.1172.7479.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.990.990.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share63.6273.3379.80
LTM Dividend per Share39.9339.9339.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share63.6273.3379.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend103.55113.26119.73
WACC / Discount Rate8.87%8.87%8.87%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$933.90$1,136.47$1,350.41
Upside / Downside-60.86%-52.37%-43.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)128.41127.12125.85124.59123.35122.11125.78
Payout Ratio30.85%42.68%54.51%66.34%78.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)39.6154.2568.6082.6596.42109.90116.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.87%8.87%8.87%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)49.3349.8450.34
Year 2 PV (M)56.7257.8859.06
Year 3 PV (M)62.1464.0666.02
Year 4 PV (M)65.9168.6471.46
Year 5 PV (M)68.3171.8775.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,232.681,296.871,363.70
Equity Value (M)1,535.091,609.151,686.15
Shares Outstanding (M)0.990.990.99
Fair Value$1,547.47$1,622.13$1,699.74
Upside / Downside-35.14%-32.01%-28.76%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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