Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hanmi Pharm. Co., Ltd. (128940.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$244,858.05 - $806,160.99$398,214.92
Multi-Stage$173,946.21 - $190,217.47$181,932.98
Blended Fair Value$290,073.95
Current Price$367,000.00
Upside-20.96%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.26%0.00%961.861,378.63459.06450.56623.63433.79686.130.001,564.380.00
YoY Growth---30.23%200.32%1.89%-27.75%43.76%-36.78%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.43%0.42%0.18%0.17%0.21%0.18%0.17%0.00%0.60%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)118,530.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)36,941.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)81,588.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23,706.0714,816.308,889.78
Cash Retained (M)81,588.8881,588.8881,588.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-23,706.07-14,816.30-8,889.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)57,882.8066,772.5872,699.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.0513.0513.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share4,434.365,115.405,569.43
LTM Dividend per Share2,830.062,830.062,830.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share4,434.365,115.405,569.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend7,264.427,945.468,399.49
WACC / Discount Rate8.10%8.10%8.10%
Growth Rate4.99%5.99%6.99%
Fair Value$244,858.05$398,214.92$806,160.99
Upside / Downside-33.28%8.51%119.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)118,530.36125,624.80133,143.87141,112.98149,559.06158,510.68163,266.00
Payout Ratio31.17%42.93%54.70%66.47%78.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)36,941.4953,934.5172,829.3893,792.87117,004.92142,659.61151,021.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.10%8.10%8.10%
Growth Rate4.99%5.99%6.99%
Year 1 PV (M)49,422.4049,893.1550,363.91
Year 2 PV (M)61,153.4162,323.9563,505.59
Year 3 PV (M)72,167.3974,249.3076,370.88
Year 4 PV (M)82,495.9085,684.2388,964.10
Year 5 PV (M)92,169.3096,643.35101,289.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,913,154.912,006,022.642,102,462.22
Equity Value (M)2,270,563.312,374,816.632,482,956.18
Shares Outstanding (M)13.0513.0513.05
Fair Value$173,946.21$181,932.98$190,217.47
Upside / Downside-52.60%-50.43%-48.17%

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