DDM Analysis: 1179.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$408.94 - $746.14	$699.24
Multi-Stage	$122.41 - $133.76	$127.98
Blended Fair Value	$413.61
Current Price	$24.22
Upside	1,607.74%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	39.53%	0.00%	3.30	0.00	0.39	0.00	0.64	0.62	0.00	0.29	0.26	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	3.04%	0.00%	-100.00%	10.87%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	12.40%	0.00%	1.18%	0.00%	1.82%	2.20%	0.00%	1.17%	0.95%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,956.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	3,907.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	49.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	791.20	494.50	296.70
Cash Retained (M)	49.00	49.00	49.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-791.20	-494.50	-296.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-742.20	-445.50	-247.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,054.42	1,054.42	1,054.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.70	-0.42	-0.23
LTM Dividend per Share	3.71	3.71	3.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.70	-0.42	-0.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.00	3.28	3.47
WACC / Discount Rate	6.27%	6.27%	6.27%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$408.94	$699.24	$746.14
Upside / Downside	1,588.43%	2,787.05%	2,980.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,956.00	4,213.14	4,486.99	4,778.65	5,089.26	5,420.06	5,582.66
Payout Ratio	98.76%	97.01%	95.26%	93.50%	91.75%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	3,907.00	4,087.13	4,274.17	4,468.25	4,669.51	4,878.06	5,163.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.27%	6.27%	6.27%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	3,809.72	3,845.83	3,881.94
Year 2 PV (M)	3,713.65	3,784.38	3,855.78
Year 3 PV (M)	3,618.77	3,722.65	3,828.51
Year 4 PV (M)	3,525.08	3,660.65	3,800.09
Year 5 PV (M)	3,432.57	3,598.36	3,770.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)	110,977.10	116,337.33	121,902.72
Equity Value (M)	129,076.89	134,949.21	141,039.54
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,054.42	1,054.42	1,054.42
Fair Value	$122.41	$127.98	$133.76
Upside / Downside	405.43%	428.42%	452.27%

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H World Group Limited (1179.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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