DDM Analysis: 0KGY.L

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1,549.12 - $3,460.91	$3,243.38
Multi-Stage	$516.88 - $565.83	$540.90
Blended Fair Value	$1,892.14
Current Price	$239.50
Upside	690.04%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	9.81%	13.01%	5.70	5.40	4.80	1.20	3.59	3.57	2.73	2.40	2.26	1.68
YoY Growth	-	-	5.62%	12.57%	300.95%	-66.65%	0.45%	30.60%	13.72%	6.38%	34.29%	0.30%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.14%	1.64%	1.75%	0.35%	1.38%	2.04%	1.50%	2.36%	3.17%	2.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	337.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	114.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)	223.06

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	67.50	42.19	25.31
Cash Retained (M)	223.06	223.06	223.06
(-) Cash Required (M)	-67.50	-42.19	-25.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)	155.56	180.87	197.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	19.39	19.39	19.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share	8.02	9.33	10.20
LTM Dividend per Share	5.90	5.90	5.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share	8.02	9.33	10.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend	13.92	15.23	16.10
WACC / Discount Rate	6.45%	6.45%	6.45%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$1,549.12	$3,243.38	$3,460.91
Upside / Downside	546.81%	1,254.23%	1,345.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	337.50	359.44	382.80	407.68	434.18	462.40	476.27
Payout Ratio	33.91%	45.13%	56.35%	67.56%	78.78%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	114.44	162.20	215.69	275.44	342.06	416.16	440.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.45%	6.45%	6.45%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	150.95	152.38	153.81
Year 2 PV (M)	186.79	190.35	193.94
Year 3 PV (M)	221.99	228.36	234.85
Year 4 PV (M)	256.54	266.41	276.55
Year 5 PV (M)	290.46	304.49	319.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)	8,917.43	9,348.15	9,795.35
Equity Value (M)	10,024.16	10,490.13	10,973.56
Shares Outstanding (M)	19.39	19.39	19.39
Fair Value	$516.88	$540.90	$565.83
Upside / Downside	115.81%	125.85%	136.25%

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EXPD	Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.	0.99%	$1.50	24.32%
LISOX	Lazard International Strategic Equity Ptf Open Shares	0.99%	$0.13	36.87%
MXC	Mexco Energy Corporation	0.99%	$0.10	12.25%
NIC	Nicolet Bankshares, Inc.	0.99%	$1.19	12.58%
PAYC	Paycom Software, Inc.	0.99%	$1.51	18.80%
RRC	Range Resources Corporation	0.99%	$0.35	14.60%
WLFC	Willis Lease Finance Corporation	0.99%	$1.32	7.58%
WOR	Worthington Industries, Inc.	0.99%	$0.52	23.95%
CNXN	PC Connection, Inc.	0.98%	$0.56	16.89%
CAT	Caterpillar Inc.	0.97%	$5.78	29.40%
CNK	Cinemark Holdings, Inc.	0.97%	$0.23	18.28%
ECL	Ecolab Inc.	0.97%	$2.54	36.57%
EVR	Evercore Inc.	0.97%	$3.41	27.02%
LSBK	Lake Shore Bancorp, Inc.	0.96%	$0.14	24.34%
0ITL.L	Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.	0.95%	$2.42	39.43%
0IZI.L	W.W. Grainger, Inc.	0.95%	$9.52	26.47%
0L5V.L	The Sherwin-Williams Company	0.95%	$3.11	30.09%
0R2S.L	Stryker Corporation	0.95%	$3.28	43.09%
RRX	Regal Rexnord Corporation	0.95%	$1.39	36.07%
WT	WisdomTree, Inc.	0.95%	$0.12	18.12%
J	Jacobs Solutions Inc.	0.94%	$1.27	53.80%
ORCL	Oracle Corporation	0.94%	$1.84	34.81%
TCBS	Texas Community Bancshares, Inc.	0.94%	$0.17	19.22%
IMKTA	Ingles Markets, Incorporated	0.93%	$0.65	14.68%
ODC	Oil-Dri Corporation of America	0.93%	$0.45	12.28%
PENG	Penguin Solutions, Inc.	0.93%	$0.19	40.17%
SSBK	Southern States Bancshares, Inc.	0.93%	$0.34	9.19%
DAL	Delta Air Lines, Inc.	0.92%	$0.63	8.94%
HIFS	Hingham Institution for Savings	0.92%	$2.49	12.15%
RL	Ralph Lauren Corporation	0.92%	$3.34	24.37%
OPY	Oppenheimer Holdings Inc.	0.91%	$0.66	8.90%
BGC	BGC Group, Inc	0.90%	$0.08	23.56%
CDRE	Cadre Holdings, Inc.	0.90%	$0.37	33.35%
MBNKP	Medallion Bank	0.90%	$0.23	12.50%
JBHT	J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.	0.89%	$1.75	30.14%
NYT	The New York Times Company	0.89%	$0.62	30.32%
RMD	ResMed Inc.	0.89%	$2.18	22.31%
VBFC	Village Bank and Trust Financial Corp.	0.89%	$0.72	15.35%
0I14.L	Cognex Corporation	0.88%	$0.32	49.16%
AR	Antero Resources Corporation	0.88%	$0.30	17.15%
LDOS	Leidos Holdings, Inc.	0.88%	$1.61	14.88%
LMAT	LeMaitre Vascular, Inc.	0.88%	$0.70	32.20%
NNI	Nelnet, Inc.	0.88%	$1.14	9.52%
PFSI	PennyMac Financial Services, Inc.	0.88%	$1.16	12.49%
SMBK	SmartFinancial, Inc.	0.88%	$0.32	11.76%
BYD	Boyd Gaming Corporation	0.87%	$0.75	3.22%
ROST	Ross Stores, Inc.	0.87%	$1.59	24.85%
BBSI	Barrett Business Services, Inc.	0.86%	$0.31	15.02%
BCO	The Brink's Company	0.86%	$1.00	24.81%
HXL	Hexcel Corporation	0.86%	$0.66	77.18%

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BTS Group AB (publ) (0KGY.L)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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