Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Techtronic Industries Company Limited (0669.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23.35 - $50.12$33.29
Multi-Stage$17.50 - $19.08$18.27
Blended Fair Value$25.78
Current Price$10.99
Upside134.58%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.80%22.89%0.260.240.250.210.140.120.100.070.060.04
YoY Growth--11.27%-5.12%16.82%50.63%17.01%21.90%34.59%33.45%23.75%33.41%
Dividend Yield--2.01%2.00%2.25%1.08%1.00%1.49%1.88%1.11%1.55%1.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,250.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)922.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,327.62
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)450.12281.32168.79
Cash Retained (M)1,327.621,327.621,327.62
(-) Cash Required (M)-450.12-281.32-168.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)877.501,046.301,158.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,835.341,835.341,835.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.480.570.63
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.480.570.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.981.071.13
WACC / Discount Rate9.93%9.93%9.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$23.35$33.29$50.12
Upside / Downside112.44%202.89%356.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,250.582,396.872,552.662,718.592,895.303,083.493,175.99
Payout Ratio41.01%50.81%60.61%70.40%80.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)922.961,217.801,547.071,913.992,322.082,775.142,937.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.93%9.93%9.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,097.371,107.771,118.17
Year 2 PV (M)1,256.201,280.131,304.28
Year 3 PV (M)1,400.451,440.651,481.61
Year 4 PV (M)1,531.021,589.891,650.45
Year 5 PV (M)1,648.781,728.411,811.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,176.0326,392.0427,654.59
Equity Value (M)32,109.8433,538.8935,020.21
Shares Outstanding (M)1,835.341,835.341,835.34
Fair Value$17.50$18.27$19.08
Upside / Downside59.19%66.28%73.62%

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