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Definitive Analysis

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DRB Holding Co., Ltd. (004840.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11,070.97 - $23,485.29$15,719.27
Multi-Stage$14,955.23 - $16,419.71$15,673.57
Blended Fair Value$15,696.42
Current Price$4,965.00
Upside216.14%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.57%13.81%160.5888.4330.0389.65138.82141.47124.6074.1754.0752.48
YoY Growth--81.59%194.52%-66.51%-35.42%-1.87%13.54%67.99%37.18%3.03%19.11%
Dividend Yield--4.17%1.50%0.67%1.68%2.05%4.17%1.93%1.05%0.49%0.44%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11,757.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,092.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)8,664.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,351.401,469.63881.78
Cash Retained (M)8,664.848,664.848,664.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,351.40-1,469.63-881.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,313.447,195.217,783.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.2619.2619.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share327.87373.67404.19
LTM Dividend per Share160.58160.58160.58
(+) Excess Retained per Share327.87373.67404.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend488.46534.25564.78
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate2.04%3.04%4.04%
Fair Value$11,070.97$15,719.27$23,485.29
Upside / Downside122.98%216.60%373.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11,757.0212,113.9312,481.6812,860.5913,251.0013,653.2714,062.86
Payout Ratio26.30%39.04%51.78%64.52%77.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,092.184,729.356,463.068,297.6910,237.7412,287.9413,008.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate2.04%3.04%4.04%
Year 1 PV (M)4,396.054,439.134,482.22
Year 2 PV (M)5,584.215,694.205,805.26
Year 3 PV (M)6,664.106,861.967,063.70
Year 4 PV (M)7,642.767,946.808,259.83
Year 5 PV (M)8,526.818,952.919,395.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)255,160.35267,911.32281,167.03
Equity Value (M)287,974.26301,806.32316,173.92
Shares Outstanding (M)19.2619.2619.26
Fair Value$14,955.23$15,673.57$16,419.71
Upside / Downside201.21%215.68%230.71%

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