Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Dalian Insulator Group Co., Ltd (002606.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.51 - $31.91$16.72
Multi-Stage$6.89 - $7.53$7.20
Blended Fair Value$11.96
Current Price$8.77
Upside36.36%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS32.58%0.19%0.090.050.050.030.020.020.040.070.060.07
YoY Growth--71.60%15.18%49.28%37.01%1.33%-41.47%-47.34%19.98%-17.30%-18.64%
Dividend Yield--1.01%0.76%0.44%0.32%0.33%0.32%0.52%0.91%0.29%0.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)170.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)140.85
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)34.1921.3712.82
Cash Retained (M)140.85140.85140.85
(-) Cash Required (M)-34.19-21.37-12.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)106.66119.48128.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)420.28420.28420.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.250.280.30
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.250.280.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.330.360.38
WACC / Discount Rate8.77%8.77%8.77%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$10.51$16.72$31.91
Upside / Downside19.80%90.60%263.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)170.95182.07193.90206.50219.93234.22241.25
Payout Ratio17.61%32.09%46.57%61.04%75.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.1158.4290.29126.06166.09210.80223.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.77%8.77%8.77%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)53.2153.7154.22
Year 2 PV (M)74.9076.3277.76
Year 3 PV (M)95.2397.97100.75
Year 4 PV (M)114.28118.67123.19
Year 5 PV (M)132.09138.48145.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,424.482,541.582,663.17
Equity Value (M)2,894.193,026.733,164.19
Shares Outstanding (M)420.28420.28420.28
Fair Value$6.89$7.20$7.53
Upside / Downside-21.48%-17.88%-14.15%

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