DDM Analysis: 002559.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$22.83 - $26.90	$25.21
Multi-Stage	$15.01 - $16.49	$15.74
Blended Fair Value	$20.47
Current Price	$11.25
Upside	81.97%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-6.25%	5.95%	0.14	0.15	0.15	0.15	0.05	0.20	0.12	0.12	0.10	0.08
YoY Growth	-	-	-4.17%	-0.03%	0.00%	207.02%	-75.38%	66.83%	-0.23%	18.89%	24.43%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.42%	1.39%	1.85%	2.22%	0.85%	3.42%	2.02%	2.12%	1.12%	0.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	75.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	60.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)	14.81

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	15.04	9.40	5.64
Cash Retained (M)	14.81	14.81	14.81
(-) Cash Required (M)	-15.04	-9.40	-5.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-0.23	5.41	9.17
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	548.11	548.11	548.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.01	0.02
LTM Dividend per Share	0.11	0.11	0.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.01	0.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.11	0.12	0.13
WACC / Discount Rate	1.99%	1.99%	1.99%
Growth Rate	3.95%	4.95%	5.95%
Fair Value	$22.83	$25.21	$26.90
Upside / Downside	102.89%	124.05%	139.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	75.22	78.94	82.86	86.96	91.27	95.79	98.66
Payout Ratio	80.31%	82.25%	84.19%	86.12%	88.06%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	60.41	64.93	69.75	74.89	80.37	86.21	91.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	1.99%	1.99%	1.99%
Growth Rate	3.95%	4.95%	5.95%
Year 1 PV (M)	63.06	63.67	64.27
Year 2 PV (M)	65.79	67.06	68.35
Year 3 PV (M)	68.61	70.61	72.64
Year 4 PV (M)	71.50	74.30	77.17
Year 5 PV (M)	74.49	78.14	81.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)	7,885.41	8,272.05	8,673.72
Equity Value (M)	8,228.87	8,625.83	9,038.09
Shares Outstanding (M)	548.11	548.11	548.11
Fair Value	$15.01	$15.74	$16.49
Upside / Downside	33.45%	39.89%	46.57%

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Ticker ⇵	Company ⇵	Dividend Yield % ▼	Dividend Per Share ⇵	Payout Ratio % ⇵
EXPD	Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.	0.99%	$1.50	24.32%
LISOX	Lazard International Strategic Equity Ptf Open Shares	0.99%	$0.13	36.87%
MXC	Mexco Energy Corporation	0.99%	$0.10	12.25%
NIC	Nicolet Bankshares, Inc.	0.99%	$1.19	12.58%
PAYC	Paycom Software, Inc.	0.99%	$1.51	18.80%
RRC	Range Resources Corporation	0.99%	$0.35	14.60%
WLFC	Willis Lease Finance Corporation	0.99%	$1.32	7.58%
WOR	Worthington Industries, Inc.	0.99%	$0.52	23.95%
CNXN	PC Connection, Inc.	0.98%	$0.56	16.89%
CAT	Caterpillar Inc.	0.97%	$5.78	29.40%
CNK	Cinemark Holdings, Inc.	0.97%	$0.23	18.28%
ECL	Ecolab Inc.	0.97%	$2.54	36.57%
EVR	Evercore Inc.	0.97%	$3.41	27.02%
LSBK	Lake Shore Bancorp, Inc.	0.96%	$0.14	24.34%
0ITL.L	Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.	0.95%	$2.42	39.43%
0IZI.L	W.W. Grainger, Inc.	0.95%	$9.52	26.47%
0L5V.L	The Sherwin-Williams Company	0.95%	$3.11	30.09%
0R2S.L	Stryker Corporation	0.95%	$3.28	43.09%
RRX	Regal Rexnord Corporation	0.95%	$1.39	36.07%
WT	WisdomTree, Inc.	0.95%	$0.12	18.12%
J	Jacobs Solutions Inc.	0.94%	$1.27	53.80%
ORCL	Oracle Corporation	0.94%	$1.84	34.81%
TCBS	Texas Community Bancshares, Inc.	0.94%	$0.17	19.22%
IMKTA	Ingles Markets, Incorporated	0.93%	$0.65	14.68%
ODC	Oil-Dri Corporation of America	0.93%	$0.45	12.28%
PENG	Penguin Solutions, Inc.	0.93%	$0.19	40.17%
SSBK	Southern States Bancshares, Inc.	0.93%	$0.34	9.19%
DAL	Delta Air Lines, Inc.	0.92%	$0.63	8.94%
HIFS	Hingham Institution for Savings	0.92%	$2.49	12.15%
RL	Ralph Lauren Corporation	0.92%	$3.34	24.37%
OPY	Oppenheimer Holdings Inc.	0.91%	$0.66	8.90%
BGC	BGC Group, Inc	0.90%	$0.08	23.56%
CDRE	Cadre Holdings, Inc.	0.90%	$0.37	33.35%
MBNKP	Medallion Bank	0.90%	$0.23	12.50%
JBHT	J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.	0.89%	$1.75	30.14%
NYT	The New York Times Company	0.89%	$0.62	30.32%
RMD	ResMed Inc.	0.89%	$2.18	22.31%
VBFC	Village Bank and Trust Financial Corp.	0.89%	$0.72	15.35%
0I14.L	Cognex Corporation	0.88%	$0.32	49.16%
AR	Antero Resources Corporation	0.88%	$0.30	17.15%
LDOS	Leidos Holdings, Inc.	0.88%	$1.61	14.88%
LMAT	LeMaitre Vascular, Inc.	0.88%	$0.70	32.20%
NNI	Nelnet, Inc.	0.88%	$1.14	9.52%
PFSI	PennyMac Financial Services, Inc.	0.88%	$1.16	12.49%
SMBK	SmartFinancial, Inc.	0.88%	$0.32	11.76%
BYD	Boyd Gaming Corporation	0.87%	$0.75	3.22%
ROST	Ross Stores, Inc.	0.87%	$1.59	24.85%
BBSI	Barrett Business Services, Inc.	0.86%	$0.31	15.02%
BCO	The Brink's Company	0.86%	$1.00	24.81%
HXL	Hexcel Corporation	0.86%	$0.66	77.18%

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Jiangsu Yawei Machine Tool Co., Ltd. (002559.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener