DDM Analysis: 002258.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$57.35 - $115.46	$108.21
Multi-Stage	$17.91 - $19.60	$18.74
Blended Fair Value	$63.47
Current Price	$12.99
Upside	388.63%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-12.58%	8.41%	0.10	0.55	0.38	0.19	0.06	0.20	0.06	0.09	0.09	0.03
YoY Growth	-	-	-81.98%	45.12%	98.17%	199.31%	-67.08%	221.12%	-29.65%	-1.47%	204.18%	-35.14%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.13%	5.99%	2.22%	0.94%	0.37%	1.86%	0.50%	0.61%	0.81%	0.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	464.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	223.93
(=) Cash Retained (M)	240.79

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	92.94	58.09	34.85
Cash Retained (M)	240.79	240.79	240.79
(-) Cash Required (M)	-92.94	-58.09	-34.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)	147.85	182.70	205.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	800.44	800.44	800.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.18	0.23	0.26
LTM Dividend per Share	0.28	0.28	0.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.18	0.23	0.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.46	0.51	0.54
WACC / Discount Rate	6.35%	6.35%	6.35%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$57.35	$108.21	$115.46
Upside / Downside	341.47%	733.00%	788.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	464.72	494.93	527.10	561.36	597.85	636.71	655.81
Payout Ratio	48.19%	56.55%	64.91%	73.27%	81.64%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	223.93	279.87	342.15	411.33	488.07	573.04	606.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.35%	6.35%	6.35%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	260.68	263.15	265.62
Year 2 PV (M)	296.83	302.48	308.19
Year 3 PV (M)	332.38	341.92	351.64
Year 4 PV (M)	367.34	381.47	396.00
Year 5 PV (M)	401.72	421.12	441.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)	12,677.46	13,289.79	13,925.55
Equity Value (M)	14,336.40	14,999.93	15,688.26
Shares Outstanding (M)	800.44	800.44	800.44
Fair Value	$17.91	$18.74	$19.60
Upside / Downside	37.88%	44.26%	50.88%

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Lier Chemical Co.,LTD. (002258.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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