DDM Analysis: 000514.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.55 - $0.75	$0.65
Multi-Stage	$2.68 - $2.98	$2.83
Blended Fair Value	$1.74
Current Price	$5.52
Upside	-68.48%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-0.42%	-7.48%	0.10	0.09	0.15	0.15	0.11	0.10	0.12	0.14	0.12	0.21
YoY Growth	-	-	9.89%	-38.75%	-0.08%	36.95%	6.33%	-17.42%	-10.09%	12.04%	-41.88%	-2.95%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.51%	2.61%	3.62%	2.27%	3.04%	2.38%	2.41%	2.05%	1.24%	2.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	93.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	51.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)	41.66

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	18.60	11.63	6.98
Cash Retained (M)	41.66	41.66	41.66
(-) Cash Required (M)	-18.60	-11.63	-6.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)	23.06	30.04	34.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	843.77	843.77	843.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.03	0.04	0.04
LTM Dividend per Share	0.06	0.06	0.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.03	0.04	0.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.09	0.10	0.10
WACC / Discount Rate	5.06%	5.06%	5.06%
Growth Rate	-9.48%	-8.48%	-7.48%
Fair Value	$0.55	$0.65	$0.75
Upside / Downside	-90.06%	-88.19%	-86.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	93.01	85.12	77.90	71.29	65.24	59.71	61.50
Payout Ratio	55.20%	62.16%	69.12%	76.08%	83.04%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	51.34	52.91	53.85	54.24	54.18	53.74	56.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.06%	5.06%	5.06%
Growth Rate	-9.48%	-8.48%	-7.48%
Year 1 PV (M)	49.81	50.36	50.91
Year 2 PV (M)	47.72	48.78	49.85
Year 3 PV (M)	45.25	46.77	48.32
Year 4 PV (M)	42.55	44.47	46.44
Year 5 PV (M)	39.74	41.98	44.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,038.88	2,154.02	2,274.30
Equity Value (M)	2,263.95	2,386.37	2,514.15
Shares Outstanding (M)	843.77	843.77	843.77
Fair Value	$2.68	$2.83	$2.98
Upside / Downside	-51.39%	-48.76%	-46.02%

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Chongqing Yukaifa Co., Ltd (000514.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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