Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Zur Shamir Holdings Ltd (ZUR.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$123.86 - $277.62$260.17
Multi-Stage$41.29 - $45.21$43.22
Blended Fair Value$151.70
Current Price$10.11
Upside1,400.45%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.71%-1.96%0.620.170.350.480.150.410.450.360.230.60
YoY Growth--272.73%-52.17%-28.13%220.00%-62.96%-10.00%25.00%60.00%-62.50%-20.00%
Dividend Yield--6.99%2.58%6.29%3.71%1.69%5.86%3.56%2.35%1.84%7.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)92.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)27.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)65.37
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.4711.556.93
Cash Retained (M)65.3765.3765.37
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.47-11.55-6.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)46.9053.8358.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)66.1766.1766.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.710.810.88
LTM Dividend per Share0.410.410.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.710.810.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.121.221.29
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$123.86$260.17$277.62
Upside / Downside1,125.10%2,473.42%2,646.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)92.3798.38104.77111.58118.83126.56130.36
Payout Ratio29.23%41.38%53.54%65.69%77.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)27.0040.7156.0973.3092.51113.90120.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)37.8938.2438.60
Year 2 PV (M)48.5749.5050.43
Year 3 PV (M)59.0760.7662.49
Year 4 PV (M)69.3772.0474.78
Year 5 PV (M)79.4983.3387.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,438.122,555.892,678.16
Equity Value (M)2,732.512,859.762,991.78
Shares Outstanding (M)66.1766.1766.17
Fair Value$41.29$43.22$45.21
Upside / Downside308.45%327.47%347.21%

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