Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Zen Technologies Limited (ZENTEC.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$516.89 - $1,095.50$733.61
Multi-Stage$370.25 - $404.79$387.21
Blended Fair Value$560.41
Current Price$1,432.80
Upside-60.89%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS26.34%0.00%1.000.190.090.090.350.310.090.130.100.00
YoY Growth--438.50%110.54%-0.35%-75.00%13.96%261.68%-33.33%24.63%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.05%0.01%0.02%0.05%0.39%0.62%0.12%0.14%0.21%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,479.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)89.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,389.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)495.83309.90185.94
Cash Retained (M)2,389.302,389.302,389.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-495.83-309.90-185.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,893.472,079.412,203.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)89.8989.8989.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share21.0623.1324.51
LTM Dividend per Share1.001.001.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share21.0623.1324.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend22.0624.1325.51
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$516.89$733.61$1,095.50
Upside / Downside-63.92%-48.80%-23.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,479.162,640.312,811.932,994.713,189.363,396.673,498.57
Payout Ratio3.62%20.90%38.17%55.45%72.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)89.86551.821,073.451,660.562,319.463,057.003,236.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)496.93501.64506.35
Year 2 PV (M)870.51887.09903.83
Year 3 PV (M)1,212.671,247.491,282.96
Year 4 PV (M)1,525.361,584.021,644.36
Year 5 PV (M)1,810.421,897.861,988.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)27,365.4428,687.2130,059.55
Equity Value (M)33,281.3434,805.3036,385.70
Shares Outstanding (M)89.8989.8989.89
Fair Value$370.25$387.21$404.79
Upside / Downside-74.16%-72.98%-71.75%

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