Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Witan Investment Trust plc (WTAN.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.22 - $6.07$5.13
Multi-Stage$6.62 - $7.28$6.94
Blended Fair Value$6.04
Current Price$2.66
Upside126.88%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS-0.68%1.81%0.060.060.070.080.070.060.060.050.050.04
YoY Growth---4.11%-4.69%-14.00%10.60%11.19%9.25%5.09%11.31%8.38%-10.63%
Dividend Yield--2.53%2.82%2.60%3.30%2.97%3.20%2.64%3.00%3.11%2.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)390.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)48.65
(=) Cash Retained (M)341.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)78.0648.7929.27
Cash Retained (M)341.65341.65341.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-78.06-48.79-29.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)263.59292.86312.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)646.08646.08646.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.410.450.48
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.410.450.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.480.530.56
WACC / Discount Rate9.21%9.21%9.21%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.22$5.13$6.07
Upside / Downside58.83%92.68%128.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)390.30386.40382.54378.71374.92371.17382.31
Payout Ratio12.46%27.97%43.48%58.99%74.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)48.65108.08166.32223.39279.29334.06353.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.21%9.21%9.21%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)97.9798.9799.97
Year 2 PV (M)136.65139.45142.28
Year 3 PV (M)166.36171.50176.75
Year 4 PV (M)188.53196.34204.39
Year 5 PV (M)204.39215.03226.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,484.113,665.543,854.44
Equity Value (M)4,278.004,486.834,703.95
Shares Outstanding (M)646.08646.08646.08
Fair Value$6.62$6.94$7.28
Upside / Downside148.93%161.08%173.71%

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