Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Vitania Ltd. (VTNA.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26.50 - $64.34$60.30
Multi-Stage$9.57 - $10.46$10.01
Blended Fair Value$35.15
Current Price$23.18
Upside51.65%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.91%0.00%0.800.901.150.940.630.500.380.310.270.30
YoY Growth---10.47%-21.82%22.22%50.00%25.00%33.33%20.00%15.38%-9.72%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.84%4.41%5.57%3.03%3.51%2.86%2.59%2.37%2.17%3.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)5.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.101.941.16
Cash Retained (M)5.505.505.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.10-1.94-1.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.403.564.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)47.9147.9147.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.070.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.070.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.260.280.30
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$26.50$60.30$64.34
Upside / Downside14.33%160.12%177.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15.5016.5117.5818.7219.9421.2321.87
Payout Ratio64.52%69.62%74.71%79.81%84.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.0011.4913.1314.9416.9319.1120.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)10.6910.7910.89
Year 2 PV (M)11.3611.5711.79
Year 3 PV (M)12.0112.3612.71
Year 4 PV (M)12.6613.1413.65
Year 5 PV (M)13.2913.9314.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)398.45417.69437.67
Equity Value (M)458.45479.48501.30
Shares Outstanding (M)47.9147.9147.91
Fair Value$9.57$10.01$10.46
Upside / Downside-58.72%-56.82%-54.86%

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