Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Vitec Software Group AB (publ) (VIT-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$261.33 - $812.50$418.50
Multi-Stage$173.23 - $189.24$181.09
Blended Fair Value$299.79
Current Price$331.40
Upside-9.54%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS23.00%22.29%2.742.081.711.340.840.980.820.740.660.49
YoY Growth--32.15%21.32%28.13%59.73%-14.21%18.23%11.65%11.11%34.33%34.92%
Dividend Yield--0.50%0.38%0.32%0.27%0.22%0.54%0.89%0.88%1.01%0.76%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)396.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)131.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)265.74
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)79.3749.6129.76
Cash Retained (M)265.74265.74265.74
(-) Cash Required (M)-79.37-49.61-29.76
(=) Excess Retained (M)186.37216.13235.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)39.8039.8039.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.685.435.93
LTM Dividend per Share3.293.293.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.685.435.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.988.729.22
WACC / Discount Rate8.72%8.72%8.72%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$261.33$418.50$812.50
Upside / Downside-21.14%26.28%145.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)396.85422.65450.12479.38510.54543.72560.03
Payout Ratio33.04%44.43%55.82%67.22%78.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)131.12187.79251.27322.22401.32489.35518.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.72%8.72%8.72%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)171.10172.72174.35
Year 2 PV (M)208.61212.58216.59
Year 3 PV (M)243.74250.73257.86
Year 4 PV (M)276.61287.24298.18
Year 5 PV (M)307.31322.16337.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,687.135,961.826,247.03
Equity Value (M)6,894.507,207.267,531.58
Shares Outstanding (M)39.8039.8039.80
Fair Value$173.23$181.09$189.24
Upside / Downside-47.73%-45.36%-42.90%

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