Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Vinte Viviendas Integrales, S.A.B. de C.V. (VINTE.MX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$258.69 - $777.85$728.93
Multi-Stage$114.07 - $124.99$119.43
Blended Fair Value$424.18
Current Price$31.25
Upside1,257.38%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-5.48%13.10%0.590.650.581.080.000.780.770.600.530.51
YoY Growth---9.21%12.22%-46.84%0.00%-100.00%1.54%27.66%12.93%4.69%196.08%
Dividend Yield--1.84%2.12%1.84%3.94%0.00%2.81%2.71%2.31%2.05%1.95%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,070.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)160.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)909.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)214.01133.7680.25
Cash Retained (M)909.89909.89909.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-214.01-133.76-80.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)695.88776.14829.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)272.69272.69272.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.552.853.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.590.590.59
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.552.853.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.143.433.63
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.15%6.15%7.15%
Fair Value$258.69$728.93$777.85
Upside / Downside727.80%2,232.59%2,389.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,070.051,135.841,205.681,279.811,358.491,442.021,485.28
Payout Ratio14.97%29.97%44.98%59.99%74.99%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)160.15340.45542.32767.711,018.781,297.821,373.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.15%6.15%7.15%
Year 1 PV (M)316.89319.90322.91
Year 2 PV (M)469.84478.82487.88
Year 3 PV (M)619.07636.91655.08
Year 4 PV (M)764.67794.17824.53
Year 5 PV (M)906.68950.62996.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)28,028.5029,386.9030,797.46
Equity Value (M)31,105.6432,567.3134,084.11
Shares Outstanding (M)272.69272.69272.69
Fair Value$114.07$119.43$124.99
Upside / Downside265.03%282.18%299.98%

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