Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

Sector

Villar International Ltd. (VILR.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$490.96 - $1,411.81$769.06
Multi-Stage$324.46 - $354.79$339.35
Blended Fair Value$554.21
Current Price$192.20
Upside188.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS29.94%17.32%4.171.691.691.690.001.130.841.410.510.51
YoY Growth--147.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%33.33%-40.00%177.78%0.00%-40.00%
Dividend Yield--2.41%1.03%1.31%0.90%0.00%0.94%0.83%1.44%0.56%0.67%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)350.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)44.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)305.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)70.0143.7626.25
Cash Retained (M)305.16305.16305.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-70.01-43.76-26.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)235.16261.41278.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.7617.7617.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share13.2414.7215.70
LTM Dividend per Share2.532.532.53
(+) Excess Retained per Share13.2414.7215.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend15.7717.2518.23
WACC / Discount Rate8.89%8.89%8.89%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$490.96$769.06$1,411.81
Upside / Downside155.44%300.14%634.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)350.04372.80397.03422.84450.32479.59493.98
Payout Ratio12.82%28.26%43.69%59.13%74.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)44.88105.34173.47250.02335.78431.63456.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.89%8.89%8.89%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)95.8396.7497.65
Year 2 PV (M)143.57146.31149.07
Year 3 PV (M)188.25193.65199.16
Year 4 PV (M)230.01238.85247.95
Year 5 PV (M)268.98281.97295.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,835.935,069.515,312.03
Equity Value (M)5,762.586,027.046,301.32
Shares Outstanding (M)17.7617.7617.76
Fair Value$324.46$339.35$354.79
Upside / Downside68.81%76.56%84.60%

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