Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Industry

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Technoprobe S.p.A. (TPRO.MI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.71 - $2.43$2.07
Multi-Stage$2.49 - $2.73$2.61
Blended Fair Value$2.34
Current Price$7.42
Upside-68.50%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS-40.04%0.00%0.000.000.000.010.030.020.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%-75.48%-76.14%24.47%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.03%0.00%0.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)163.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)162.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)32.7720.4812.29
Cash Retained (M)162.65162.65162.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-32.77-20.48-12.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)129.88142.17150.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)626.98626.98626.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.230.24
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.230.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.210.230.24
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.71$2.07$2.43
Upside / Downside-76.90%-72.14%-67.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)163.85162.21160.59158.99157.40155.82160.50
Payout Ratio0.73%18.59%36.44%54.29%72.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.2030.1558.5286.32113.56140.24148.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)27.1427.4227.70
Year 2 PV (M)47.4348.4149.39
Year 3 PV (M)62.9964.9466.93
Year 4 PV (M)74.6177.7080.89
Year 5 PV (M)82.9587.2791.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,263.261,329.041,397.53
Equity Value (M)1,558.391,634.781,714.20
Shares Outstanding (M)626.98626.98626.98
Fair Value$2.49$2.61$2.73
Upside / Downside-66.50%-64.86%-63.15%

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