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Ratchthani Leasing Public Company Limited (THANI.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.29 - $1.95$1.60
Multi-Stage$3.00 - $3.30$3.15
Blended Fair Value$2.38
Current Price$1.66
Upside43.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-40.19%8.89%0.020.150.150.150.100.240.010.080.070.01
YoY Growth---88.23%0.01%-0.01%59.37%-59.18%1,941.66%-85.71%16.67%620.00%25.00%
Dividend Yield--1.06%6.60%4.64%4.09%2.36%8.80%0.30%2.00%3.22%0.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)955.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)436.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)519.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)191.12119.4571.67
Cash Retained (M)519.56519.56519.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-191.12-119.45-71.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)328.44400.11447.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6,229.336,229.336,229.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.120.130.14
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate-2.63%-1.63%-0.63%
Fair Value$1.29$1.60$1.95
Upside / Downside-22.02%-3.37%17.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)955.60939.99924.63909.52894.66880.05906.45
Payout Ratio45.63%54.50%63.38%72.25%81.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)436.05512.34586.02657.15725.81792.04838.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate-2.63%-1.63%-0.63%
Year 1 PV (M)475.74480.63485.51
Year 2 PV (M)505.29515.72526.26
Year 3 PV (M)526.15542.53559.24
Year 4 PV (M)539.61562.12585.33
Year 5 PV (M)546.79575.45605.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)16,089.7116,933.1117,811.50
Equity Value (M)18,683.2919,609.5620,573.16
Shares Outstanding (M)6,229.336,229.336,229.33
Fair Value$3.00$3.15$3.30
Upside / Downside80.68%89.64%98.95%

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