Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Tefron Ltd. (TFRLF.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.36 - $39.11$25.17
Multi-Stage$12.41 - $13.56$12.98
Blended Fair Value$19.07
Current Price$6.78
Upside181.34%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.150.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.59%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)9.48
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.311.440.87
Cash Retained (M)9.489.489.48
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.31-1.44-0.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)7.178.048.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.3713.3713.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.540.600.64
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.540.600.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.690.750.80
WACC / Discount Rate9.69%9.69%9.69%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$17.36$25.17$39.11
Upside / Downside156.10%271.30%476.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11.5412.2913.0913.9414.8415.8116.28
Payout Ratio17.85%32.28%46.71%61.14%75.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.063.976.118.5211.2214.2315.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.69%9.69%9.69%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3.583.623.65
Year 2 PV (M)4.995.085.18
Year 3 PV (M)6.286.466.64
Year 4 PV (M)7.467.758.04
Year 5 PV (M)8.558.969.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)135.16141.68148.46
Equity Value (M)166.01173.54181.36
Shares Outstanding (M)13.3713.3713.37
Fair Value$12.41$12.98$13.56
Upside / Downside83.07%91.38%100.00%

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