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Definitive Analysis

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Synsam AB (publ) (SYNSAM.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24.08 - $36.40$29.89
Multi-Stage$50.08 - $55.02$52.50
Blended Fair Value$41.20
Current Price$57.60
Upside-28.48%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%1.831.741.750.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--5.14%-0.78%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.10%3.00%4.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)407.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)260.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)147.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)81.4050.8830.53
Cash Retained (M)147.00147.00147.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-81.40-50.88-30.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)65.6096.13116.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)145.45145.45145.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.450.660.80
LTM Dividend per Share1.791.791.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.450.660.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.242.452.59
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$24.08$29.89$36.40
Upside / Downside-58.19%-48.11%-36.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)407.00402.93398.90394.91390.96387.05398.66
Payout Ratio63.88%69.11%74.33%79.55%84.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)260.00278.45296.50314.16331.44348.35368.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)257.34259.96262.59
Year 2 PV (M)253.25258.44263.69
Year 3 PV (M)247.99255.66263.48
Year 4 PV (M)241.79251.82262.15
Year 5 PV (M)234.86247.09259.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,048.676,363.646,691.60
Equity Value (M)7,283.907,636.618,003.33
Shares Outstanding (M)145.45145.45145.45
Fair Value$50.08$52.50$55.02
Upside / Downside-13.06%-8.85%-4.47%

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