Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Spectris plc (SXS.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29.17 - $44.41$36.32
Multi-Stage$50.57 - $55.50$52.99
Blended Fair Value$44.65
Current Price$38.38
Upside16.34%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.17%4.41%0.790.790.770.780.250.710.670.620.590.56
YoY Growth--1.00%1.40%-0.51%209.80%-64.73%6.01%7.91%5.69%5.10%8.80%
Dividend Yield--3.16%2.11%2.58%2.13%0.89%2.45%2.95%2.52%2.55%3.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)332.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)162.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)169.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)66.4041.5024.90
Cash Retained (M)169.30169.30169.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-66.40-41.50-24.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)102.90127.80144.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)101.43101.43101.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.011.261.42
LTM Dividend per Share1.601.601.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.011.261.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.622.863.03
WACC / Discount Rate7.90%7.90%7.90%
Growth Rate-0.98%0.02%1.02%
Fair Value$29.17$36.32$44.41
Upside / Downside-23.99%-5.37%15.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)332.00332.06332.11332.17332.23332.29342.25
Payout Ratio49.01%57.20%65.40%73.60%81.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)162.70189.95217.21244.49271.77299.06316.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.90%7.90%7.90%
Growth Rate-0.98%0.02%1.02%
Year 1 PV (M)174.28176.04177.80
Year 2 PV (M)182.84186.56190.30
Year 3 PV (M)188.82194.59200.49
Year 4 PV (M)192.56200.46208.60
Year 5 PV (M)194.41204.43214.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,196.044,412.254,637.28
Equity Value (M)5,128.955,374.335,629.33
Shares Outstanding (M)101.43101.43101.43
Fair Value$50.57$52.99$55.50
Upside / Downside31.76%38.06%44.61%

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