Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ticker

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STS Global Income & Growth Trust PLC (STS.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.44 - $5.23$4.28
Multi-Stage$4.42 - $4.84$4.63
Blended Fair Value$4.45
Current Price$2.41
Upside84.85%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS3.57%2.85%0.070.050.050.050.060.060.060.040.060.06
YoY Growth--28.47%0.35%4.49%-11.86%0.38%-0.46%29.81%-22.48%-4.17%15.71%
Dividend Yield--2.78%2.37%2.41%2.13%2.77%3.30%3.29%2.68%3.35%4.30%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)44.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)33.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.915.573.34
Cash Retained (M)33.9633.9633.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.91-5.57-3.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)25.0528.3930.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)117.06117.06117.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.240.26
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.240.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.300.330.35
WACC / Discount Rate9.76%9.76%9.76%
Growth Rate0.85%1.85%2.85%
Fair Value$3.44$4.28$5.23
Upside / Downside42.85%77.72%117.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)44.5545.3746.2147.0647.9348.8150.28
Payout Ratio23.76%37.01%50.26%63.51%76.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.5916.7923.2229.8936.7943.9346.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.76%9.76%9.76%
Growth Rate0.85%1.85%2.85%
Year 1 PV (M)15.1515.3015.45
Year 2 PV (M)18.9019.2819.66
Year 3 PV (M)21.9422.6023.27
Year 4 PV (M)24.3625.3426.35
Year 5 PV (M)26.2527.5728.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)410.77431.55453.15
Equity Value (M)517.37541.64566.84
Shares Outstanding (M)117.06117.06117.06
Fair Value$4.42$4.63$4.84
Upside / Downside83.39%91.99%100.92%

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