Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sietel Limited (SSL.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.97 - $4.21$3.58
Multi-Stage$4.29 - $4.72$4.50
Blended Fair Value$4.04
Current Price$8.59
Upside-52.96%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-96.49%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.01%0.01%0.01%0.01%0.01%0.01%0.01%0.02%0.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.740.460.28
Cash Retained (M)3.663.663.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.74-0.46-0.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.933.203.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.088.088.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.360.400.42
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.360.400.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.360.400.42
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.97$3.58$4.21
Upside / Downside-65.41%-58.31%-51.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3.683.643.603.573.533.503.60
Payout Ratio0.41%18.33%36.24%54.16%72.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.020.671.311.932.553.153.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)0.600.610.61
Year 2 PV (M)1.061.081.10
Year 3 PV (M)1.411.451.50
Year 4 PV (M)1.671.741.81
Year 5 PV (M)1.861.952.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)28.0829.5431.06
Equity Value (M)34.6736.3738.14
Shares Outstanding (M)8.088.088.08
Fair Value$4.29$4.50$4.72
Upside / Downside-50.06%-47.62%-45.07%

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