Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

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Shapir Engineering and Industry Ltd (SPEN.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$25.28 - $128.87$51.92
Multi-Stage$14.00 - $15.31$14.64
Blended Fair Value$33.28
Current Price$27.08
Upside22.91%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.190.190.190.160.190.160.440.220.22
YoY Growth---100.00%0.00%0.00%16.67%-14.29%16.67%-62.96%102.50%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.92%0.74%0.60%0.67%0.83%1.31%3.87%2.16%3.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)240.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)80.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)160.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)48.0030.0018.00
Cash Retained (M)160.00160.00160.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-48.00-30.00-18.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)112.00130.00142.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)370.38370.38370.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.300.350.38
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.300.350.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.520.570.60
WACC / Discount Rate7.66%7.66%7.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$25.28$51.92$128.87
Upside / Downside-6.63%91.74%375.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)240.00255.60272.21289.91308.75328.82338.69
Payout Ratio33.33%44.67%56.00%67.33%78.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)80.00114.17152.44195.20242.88295.94313.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.66%7.66%7.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)105.05106.04107.04
Year 2 PV (M)129.05131.51133.99
Year 3 PV (M)152.05156.42160.87
Year 4 PV (M)174.08180.77187.66
Year 5 PV (M)195.16204.58214.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,430.574,644.564,866.75
Equity Value (M)5,185.965,423.905,670.68
Shares Outstanding (M)370.38370.38370.38
Fair Value$14.00$14.64$15.31
Upside / Downside-48.30%-45.92%-43.46%

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