Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Raval ACS Ltd. (RVL.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.54 - $0.79$0.66
Multi-Stage$1.01 - $1.11$1.06
Blended Fair Value$0.86
Current Price$0.47
Upside83.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%7.25%0.060.060.060.220.000.000.000.020.080.03
YoY Growth--0.73%-3.10%-71.81%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-70.25%148.76%10.06%
Dividend Yield--11.16%8.42%5.21%12.96%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.80%3.64%1.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.130.700.42
Cash Retained (M)1.901.901.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.13-0.70-0.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.771.191.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)82.0382.0382.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.050.060.06
WACC / Discount Rate7.99%7.99%7.99%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.54$0.66$0.79
Upside / Downside14.57%40.66%69.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5.635.585.525.475.415.365.52
Payout Ratio66.35%71.08%75.81%80.54%85.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.743.964.194.404.614.825.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.99%7.99%7.99%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)3.633.673.71
Year 2 PV (M)3.523.593.66
Year 3 PV (M)3.393.503.60
Year 4 PV (M)3.263.393.53
Year 5 PV (M)3.123.283.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)66.1769.6273.20
Equity Value (M)83.0987.0591.16
Shares Outstanding (M)82.0382.0382.03
Fair Value$1.01$1.06$1.11
Upside / Downside115.35%125.61%136.27%

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