Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Reit 1 Ltd (RIT1.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$76.01 - $300.51$129.32
Multi-Stage$58.60 - $64.16$61.33
Blended Fair Value$95.32
Current Price$24.50
Upside289.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.41%8.30%0.830.810.760.670.650.610.560.500.450.42
YoY Growth--2.77%6.34%13.01%3.78%6.46%9.09%11.04%12.37%5.39%13.42%
Dividend Yield--4.64%5.14%4.82%3.09%4.18%3.51%3.48%3.48%3.70%3.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)509.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)166.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)342.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)101.8163.6338.18
Cash Retained (M)342.24342.24342.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-101.81-63.63-38.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)240.43278.61304.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)196.34196.34196.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.221.421.55
LTM Dividend per Share0.850.850.85
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.221.421.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.072.272.40
WACC / Discount Rate7.26%7.26%7.26%
Growth Rate4.41%5.41%6.41%
Fair Value$76.01$129.32$300.51
Upside / Downside210.24%427.83%1,126.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)509.05536.61565.66596.29628.57662.60682.47
Payout Ratio32.77%44.22%55.66%67.11%78.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)166.82237.27314.86400.15493.76596.34631.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.26%7.26%7.26%
Growth Rate4.41%5.41%6.41%
Year 1 PV (M)219.10221.20223.30
Year 2 PV (M)268.49273.66278.88
Year 3 PV (M)315.11324.25333.56
Year 4 PV (M)359.06373.01387.37
Year 5 PV (M)400.45419.99440.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,944.2710,429.6710,933.85
Equity Value (M)11,506.4812,041.7912,597.26
Shares Outstanding (M)196.34196.34196.34
Fair Value$58.60$61.33$64.16
Upside / Downside139.20%150.33%161.87%

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