Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Rogers Communications Inc. (RCI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$268.18 - $662.18$400.94
Multi-Stage$302.46 - $332.03$316.97
Blended Fair Value$358.95
Current Price$47.98
Upside648.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-6.17%-2.27%1.371.771.871.871.871.881.831.831.831.81
YoY Growth---23.02%-4.95%0.00%-0.10%-0.49%2.83%0.00%0.00%1.13%5.05%
Dividend Yield--3.55%3.22%2.98%2.63%3.23%3.22%2.55%3.17%3.10%3.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,749.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)747.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,001.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,349.80843.63506.18
Cash Retained (M)6,001.146,001.146,001.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,349.80-843.63-506.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,651.345,157.525,494.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)541.01541.01541.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.609.5310.16
LTM Dividend per Share1.381.381.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.609.5310.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.9810.9211.54
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate2.83%3.83%4.83%
Fair Value$268.18$400.94$662.18
Upside / Downside458.93%735.64%1,280.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,749.007,007.807,276.527,555.557,845.288,146.128,390.51
Payout Ratio11.08%26.86%42.65%58.43%74.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)747.861,882.633,103.344,414.895,822.477,331.517,761.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate2.83%3.83%4.83%
Year 1 PV (M)1,748.061,765.061,782.05
Year 2 PV (M)2,675.522,727.812,780.60
Year 3 PV (M)3,534.183,638.293,744.42
Year 4 PV (M)4,327.784,498.594,674.41
Year 5 PV (M)5,059.895,310.745,571.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)146,291.38153,544.02161,081.49
Equity Value (M)163,636.81171,484.50179,634.42
Shares Outstanding (M)541.01541.01541.01
Fair Value$302.46$316.97$332.03
Upside / Downside530.39%560.63%592.02%

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