Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Qiagen N.V. (QIA.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Diagnostics & ResearchSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29.00 - $55.47$39.63
Multi-Stage$37.81 - $41.51$39.62
Blended Fair Value$39.63
Current Price$44.24
Upside-10.43%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)405.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)54.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)351.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)81.0750.6730.40
Cash Retained (M)351.13351.13351.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-81.07-50.67-30.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)270.05300.46320.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)218.71218.71218.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.231.371.47
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.231.371.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.481.621.71
WACC / Discount Rate7.15%7.15%7.15%
Growth Rate1.94%2.94%3.94%
Fair Value$29.00$39.63$55.47
Upside / Downside-34.45%-10.42%25.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)405.37417.27429.52442.13455.10468.46482.51
Payout Ratio13.38%28.71%44.03%59.35%74.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)54.24119.78189.11262.41339.85421.61446.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.15%7.15%7.15%
Growth Rate1.94%2.94%3.94%
Year 1 PV (M)110.70111.79112.87
Year 2 PV (M)161.54164.72167.94
Year 3 PV (M)207.17213.32219.60
Year 4 PV (M)247.97257.85268.01
Year 5 PV (M)284.32298.54313.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,257.017,620.027,997.42
Equity Value (M)8,268.708,666.249,079.18
Shares Outstanding (M)218.71218.71218.71
Fair Value$37.81$39.62$41.51
Upside / Downside-14.54%-10.43%-6.17%

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