Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

Sector

Polyram Plastic Industries Ltd. (POLP.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.03 - $98.55$35.00
Multi-Stage$10.72 - $11.70$11.20
Blended Fair Value$23.10
Current Price$10.60
Upside117.93%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS42.13%0.00%0.530.380.450.640.730.090.530.290.000.00
YoY Growth--38.10%-16.00%-28.57%-12.50%700.00%-82.76%81.25%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.33%3.67%5.27%4.26%7.24%0.97%5.60%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)54.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)40.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)14.62
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.926.834.10
Cash Retained (M)14.6214.6214.62
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.92-6.83-4.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.707.8010.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)110.23110.23110.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.070.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.360.360.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.070.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.400.430.46
WACC / Discount Rate7.82%7.82%7.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$18.03$35.00$98.55
Upside / Downside70.12%230.22%829.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)54.6258.1761.9665.9870.2774.8477.08
Payout Ratio73.23%76.58%79.94%83.29%86.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)40.0044.5549.5354.9660.8967.3671.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.82%7.82%7.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)40.9341.3241.71
Year 2 PV (M)41.8142.6043.41
Year 3 PV (M)42.6243.8545.09
Year 4 PV (M)43.3945.0646.77
Year 5 PV (M)44.1046.2348.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)968.651,015.431,064.01
Equity Value (M)1,181.491,234.481,289.43
Shares Outstanding (M)110.23110.23110.23
Fair Value$10.72$11.20$11.70
Upside / Downside1.11%5.65%10.35%

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