Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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PIERER Mobility AG (PKTM.VI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - Recreational VehiclesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$303.06 - $668.28$436.20
Multi-Stage$285.42 - $312.93$298.92
Blended Fair Value$367.56
Current Price$17.08
Upside2,052.00%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS19.87%18.54%0.512.091.010.340.380.200.200.270.200.00
YoY Growth---75.77%106.17%194.39%-9.50%85.94%-0.12%-25.20%34.77%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--2.57%4.01%1.50%0.38%0.57%0.42%0.39%0.43%0.39%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)530.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)511.27
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)106.1566.3439.81
Cash Retained (M)511.27511.27511.27
(-) Cash Required (M)-106.15-66.34-39.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)405.11444.92471.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)33.8033.8033.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share11.9913.1613.95
LTM Dividend per Share0.580.580.58
(+) Excess Retained per Share11.9913.1613.95
(=) Adjusted Dividend12.5613.7414.53
WACC / Discount Rate7.93%7.93%7.93%
Growth Rate3.63%4.63%5.63%
Fair Value$303.06$436.20$668.28
Upside / Downside1,674.36%2,453.89%3,812.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)530.76555.35581.07607.99636.16665.63685.60
Payout Ratio3.67%20.94%38.20%55.47%72.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.49116.28221.99337.25462.71599.07634.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.93%7.93%7.93%
Growth Rate3.63%4.63%5.63%
Year 1 PV (M)106.71107.74108.77
Year 2 PV (M)186.95190.57194.23
Year 3 PV (M)260.63268.25276.01
Year 4 PV (M)328.15341.00354.23
Year 5 PV (M)389.88409.06428.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,373.958,785.859,213.79
Equity Value (M)9,646.2710,102.4710,576.01
Shares Outstanding (M)33.8033.8033.80
Fair Value$285.42$298.92$312.93
Upside / Downside1,571.08%1,650.11%1,732.14%

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