Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Empreendimentos Pague Menos S.A. (PGMN3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - PharmaceuticalsSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$25.49 - $66.42$62.24
Multi-Stage$9.73 - $10.64$10.18
Blended Fair Value$36.21
Current Price$3.60
Upside905.81%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.35%0.070.140.000.000.000.000.000.000.070.09
YoY Growth---47.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-21.95%33.99%
Dividend Yield--2.32%5.59%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.90%1.15%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)197.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)147.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)50.19
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)39.5024.6914.81
Cash Retained (M)50.1950.1950.19
(-) Cash Required (M)-39.50-24.69-14.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)10.6925.5035.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)591.37591.37591.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.040.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.040.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.270.290.31
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$25.49$62.24$66.42
Upside / Downside608.05%1,628.94%1,744.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)197.50210.33224.00238.57254.07270.59278.70
Payout Ratio74.59%77.67%80.75%83.84%86.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)147.31163.37180.89200.00220.83243.53257.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)151.81153.25154.68
Year 2 PV (M)156.19159.17162.17
Year 3 PV (M)160.47165.08169.77
Year 4 PV (M)164.65170.98177.49
Year 5 PV (M)168.72176.87185.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,953.315,192.555,440.96
Equity Value (M)5,755.156,017.896,290.41
Shares Outstanding (M)591.37591.37591.37
Fair Value$9.73$10.18$10.64
Upside / Downside170.33%182.67%195.47%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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