Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Polar Capital Global Financials Trust plc (PCFT.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - GlobalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.33 - $49.06$27.03
Multi-Stage$11.48 - $12.56$12.01
Blended Fair Value$19.52
Current Price$2.07
Upside842.98%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.02%12.60%0.050.050.040.020.020.030.030.020.020.02
YoY Growth---2.38%6.15%91.79%0.90%-19.61%6.19%28.90%10.74%3.43%29.68%
Dividend Yield--2.35%3.39%2.86%1.35%1.67%1.98%2.04%1.51%1.54%1.75%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)215.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)24.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)190.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)43.0126.8816.13
Cash Retained (M)190.44190.44190.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-43.01-26.88-16.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)147.44163.56174.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)305.59305.59305.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.480.540.57
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.480.540.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.560.620.65
WACC / Discount Rate8.93%8.93%8.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$17.33$27.03$49.06
Upside / Downside737.40%1,205.67%2,270.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)215.04229.02243.91259.76276.65294.63303.47
Payout Ratio11.44%27.15%42.86%58.58%74.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)24.6062.18104.55152.16205.51265.16280.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.93%8.93%8.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)56.5557.0957.62
Year 2 PV (M)86.4788.1189.78
Year 3 PV (M)114.45117.73121.08
Year 4 PV (M)140.58145.99151.55
Year 5 PV (M)164.96172.92181.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,946.623,088.943,236.71
Equity Value (M)3,509.623,670.783,837.93
Shares Outstanding (M)305.59305.59305.59
Fair Value$11.48$12.01$12.56
Upside / Downside454.81%480.29%506.71%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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