Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Northern Electric PLC (NTEA.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$54.29 - $125.78$79.48
Multi-Stage$58.09 - $63.71$60.85
Blended Fair Value$70.16
Current Price$1.24
Upside5,558.29%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-18.25%-11.36%0.070.380.900.200.200.190.000.180.780.16
YoY Growth---81.29%-58.24%342.10%2.36%3.25%0.00%-100.00%-77.30%385.44%-31.33%
Dividend Yield--5.67%32.13%73.19%13.76%11.70%13.76%0.00%10.97%52.92%11.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)342.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)56.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)285.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)68.4742.7925.68
Cash Retained (M)285.36285.36285.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-68.47-42.79-25.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)216.89242.56259.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)127.69127.69127.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.701.902.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.450.450.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.701.902.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.142.352.48
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate3.06%4.06%5.06%
Fair Value$54.29$79.48$125.78
Upside / Downside4,278.33%6,309.58%10,043.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)342.34356.23370.68385.72401.37417.66430.19
Payout Ratio16.65%31.32%45.99%60.66%75.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)56.98111.56170.47233.97302.35375.89397.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate3.06%4.06%5.06%
Year 1 PV (M)103.13104.13105.13
Year 2 PV (M)145.69148.53151.40
Year 3 PV (M)184.87190.30195.84
Year 4 PV (M)220.86229.55238.51
Year 5 PV (M)253.84266.40279.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,508.636,830.607,165.18
Equity Value (M)7,417.027,769.528,135.51
Shares Outstanding (M)127.69127.69127.69
Fair Value$58.09$60.85$63.71
Upside / Downside4,584.38%4,807.00%5,038.15%

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