Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Northeast Bank (NBN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$350.65 - $1,890.97$635.48
Multi-Stage$203.99 - $223.35$213.49
Blended Fair Value$424.49
Current Price$100.16
Upside323.81%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-1.32%-1.81%0.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.05
YoY Growth--9.48%3.73%-6.35%-4.83%-7.54%-0.28%1.13%-0.56%-6.05%-5.47%
Dividend Yield--0.04%0.05%0.08%0.10%0.12%0.23%0.19%0.20%0.16%0.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)88.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)88.54
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.7811.116.67
Cash Retained (M)88.5488.5488.54
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.78-11.11-6.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)70.7777.4381.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.368.368.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.479.269.79
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.479.269.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.519.309.83
WACC / Discount Rate8.06%8.06%8.06%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$350.65$635.48$1,890.97
Upside / Downside250.09%534.47%1,787.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)88.8894.66100.81107.36114.34121.77125.42
Payout Ratio0.38%18.30%36.23%54.15%72.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.3417.3236.5258.1482.41109.59116.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.06%8.06%8.06%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)15.8816.0316.18
Year 2 PV (M)30.6931.2731.86
Year 3 PV (M)44.7946.0747.38
Year 4 PV (M)58.2060.4462.74
Year 5 PV (M)70.9674.3877.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,484.761,556.481,630.94
Equity Value (M)1,705.281,784.681,867.05
Shares Outstanding (M)8.368.368.36
Fair Value$203.99$213.49$223.35
Upside / Downside103.67%113.15%122.99%

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