Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Micro Systemation AB (publ) (MSAB-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$101.43 - $459.39$233.42
Multi-Stage$54.22 - $59.22$56.68
Blended Fair Value$145.05
Current Price$58.80
Upside146.69%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-7.37%31.65%1.511.510.002.010.002.212.202.202.200.98
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%0.49%0.00%0.00%125.40%912.30%
Dividend Yield--2.95%2.90%0.00%3.38%0.00%11.07%4.32%3.09%4.00%1.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)42.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)27.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)14.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.485.303.18
Cash Retained (M)14.7014.7014.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.48-5.30-3.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)6.229.4011.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18.3618.3618.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.340.510.63
LTM Dividend per Share1.511.511.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.340.510.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.852.022.14
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$101.43$233.42$459.39
Upside / Downside72.49%296.98%681.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)42.4045.1648.0951.2254.5558.0959.83
Payout Ratio65.33%70.26%75.20%80.13%85.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)27.7031.7336.1641.0446.4052.2855.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)29.2629.5429.81
Year 2 PV (M)30.7531.3431.93
Year 3 PV (M)32.1833.1134.05
Year 4 PV (M)33.5534.8536.17
Year 5 PV (M)34.8736.5538.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)834.64874.96916.81
Equity Value (M)995.261,040.341,087.08
Shares Outstanding (M)18.3618.3618.36
Fair Value$54.22$56.68$59.22
Upside / Downside-7.79%-3.61%0.72%

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