Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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PT Midi Utama Indonesia Tbk (MIDI.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Discount StoresSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,055.78 - $3,986.89$3,100.21
Multi-Stage$497.25 - $543.94$520.16
Blended Fair Value$1,810.19
Current Price$434.00
Upside317.09%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS26.58%22.65%4.653.592.471.801.831.430.921.771.291.25
YoY Growth--29.66%45.20%37.41%-1.65%27.71%55.14%-47.80%36.67%3.45%107.15%
Dividend Yield--1.37%0.91%0.72%0.89%0.96%1.26%0.91%1.66%1.50%1.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)670,284.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)245,749.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)424,535.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)134,056.8083,785.5050,271.30
Cash Retained (M)424,535.00424,535.00424,535.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-134,056.80-83,785.50-50,271.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)290,478.20340,749.50374,263.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)33,435.3033,435.3033,435.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.6910.1911.19
LTM Dividend per Share7.357.357.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.6910.1911.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend16.0417.5418.54
WACC / Discount Rate7.10%7.10%7.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,055.78$3,100.21$3,986.89
Upside / Downside143.27%614.33%818.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)670,284.00713,852.46760,252.87809,669.31862,297.81918,347.17945,897.58
Payout Ratio36.66%47.33%58.00%68.67%79.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)245,749.00337,871.59440,931.83555,962.39684,083.99826,512.45874,955.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.10%7.10%7.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)312,503.27315,465.38318,427.50
Year 2 PV (M)377,204.81384,389.50391,641.98
Year 3 PV (M)439,900.11452,528.06465,395.40
Year 4 PV (M)500,634.73519,887.73539,690.77
Year 5 PV (M)559,453.29586,475.10614,531.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,435,850.3515,133,107.3215,857,049.95
Equity Value (M)16,625,546.5617,391,853.0918,186,736.68
Shares Outstanding (M)33,435.3033,435.3033,435.30
Fair Value$497.25$520.16$543.94
Upside / Downside14.57%19.85%25.33%

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