Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Minto Apartment Real Estate Investment Trust (MI-UN.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - ResidentialSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$88.14 - $334.90$256.19
Multi-Stage$41.62 - $45.53$43.54
Blended Fair Value$149.86
Current Price$13.78
Upside987.52%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.07%0.00%0.450.440.430.380.360.220.110.450.000.09
YoY Growth--3.06%2.83%13.03%4.44%61.26%100.10%-74.98%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.33%2.75%2.88%1.75%1.66%1.15%0.55%2.83%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)75.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)26.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)48.86
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.099.435.66
Cash Retained (M)48.8648.8648.86
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.09-9.43-5.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)33.7739.4343.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)44.8144.8144.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.750.880.96
LTM Dividend per Share0.590.590.59
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.750.880.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.351.471.56
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$88.14$256.19$334.90
Upside / Downside539.61%1,759.11%2,330.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)75.4680.3785.5991.1697.08103.39106.49
Payout Ratio35.25%46.20%57.15%68.10%79.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)26.6037.1348.9262.0876.7493.0598.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)34.3434.6634.99
Year 2 PV (M)41.8442.6443.44
Year 3 PV (M)49.1050.5151.95
Year 4 PV (M)56.1458.3060.52
Year 5 PV (M)62.9666.0069.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,620.581,698.851,780.12
Equity Value (M)1,864.961,950.972,040.18
Shares Outstanding (M)44.8144.8144.81
Fair Value$41.62$43.54$45.53
Upside / Downside202.00%215.93%230.38%

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