Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Max Stock Ltd. (MAXO.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Department StoresSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16.84 - $42.22$25.30
Multi-Stage$27.69 - $30.41$29.03
Blended Fair Value$27.16
Current Price$16.00
Upside69.77%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS3.71%0.00%0.420.420.280.500.050.350.180.310.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%50.00%-42.86%889.96%-85.86%100.00%-43.16%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.17%5.04%4.03%5.83%0.37%2.83%1.42%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)110.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)70.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)40.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.0713.798.28
Cash Retained (M)40.3440.3440.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.07-13.79-8.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)18.2726.5432.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)141.26141.26141.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.190.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.190.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.620.680.72
WACC / Discount Rate5.49%5.49%5.49%
Growth Rate1.71%2.71%3.71%
Fair Value$16.84$25.30$42.22
Upside / Downside5.23%58.12%163.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)110.34113.33116.40119.56122.81126.14129.93
Payout Ratio63.44%68.75%74.07%79.38%84.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)70.0077.9286.2294.91104.00113.53120.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.49%5.49%5.49%
Growth Rate1.71%2.71%3.71%
Year 1 PV (M)73.1573.8674.58
Year 2 PV (M)75.9877.4878.99
Year 3 PV (M)78.5180.8583.23
Year 4 PV (M)80.7783.9987.31
Year 5 PV (M)82.7686.9191.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,520.853,697.363,880.88
Equity Value (M)3,912.014,100.454,296.23
Shares Outstanding (M)141.26141.26141.26
Fair Value$27.69$29.03$30.41
Upside / Downside73.08%81.42%90.08%

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