Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Likewise Group plc (LIKE.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.08 - $0.11$0.09
Multi-Stage$0.15 - $0.17$0.16
Blended Fair Value$0.13
Current Price$0.24
Upside-45.90%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--25.29%50.06%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.99%1.57%1.23%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.65
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.470.290.18
Cash Retained (M)0.690.690.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.47-0.29-0.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.220.400.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)249.40249.40249.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.010.010.01
WACC / Discount Rate7.56%7.56%7.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.08$0.09$0.11
Upside / Downside-67.28%-59.63%-51.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2.342.312.292.272.252.222.29
Payout Ratio70.49%74.39%78.30%82.20%86.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.651.721.791.861.932.002.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.56%7.56%7.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1.581.601.62
Year 2 PV (M)1.521.551.58
Year 3 PV (M)1.451.501.54
Year 4 PV (M)1.391.441.50
Year 5 PV (M)1.321.391.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)30.6732.2733.93
Equity Value (M)37.9439.7541.64
Shares Outstanding (M)249.40249.40249.40
Fair Value$0.15$0.16$0.17
Upside / Downside-35.27%-32.17%-28.95%

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