Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Loews Corporation (L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$66.55 - $103.80$83.73
Multi-Stage$102.36 - $112.57$107.37
Blended Fair Value$95.55
Current Price$100.39
Upside-4.82%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-6.26%-5.32%0.260.270.290.310.330.360.380.400.400.42
YoY Growth---3.51%-6.56%-6.15%-7.14%-7.89%-5.00%-4.76%0.00%-6.67%-5.26%
Dividend Yield--0.28%0.35%0.50%0.47%0.64%1.03%0.77%0.80%0.85%1.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,452.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)52.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,400.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)290.40181.50108.90
Cash Retained (M)1,400.001,400.001,400.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-290.40-181.50-108.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,109.601,218.501,291.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)212.30212.30212.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.235.746.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.235.746.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.475.986.33
WACC / Discount Rate7.99%7.99%7.99%
Growth Rate-0.22%0.78%1.78%
Fair Value$66.55$83.73$103.80
Upside / Downside-33.70%-16.60%3.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,452.001,463.361,474.811,486.341,497.971,509.691,554.98
Payout Ratio3.58%20.87%38.15%55.43%72.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)52.00305.33562.62823.921,089.271,358.721,438.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.99%7.99%7.99%
Growth Rate-0.22%0.78%1.78%
Year 1 PV (M)279.95282.75285.56
Year 2 PV (M)472.96482.48492.11
Year 3 PV (M)635.03654.31673.98
Year 4 PV (M)769.75801.07833.34
Year 5 PV (M)880.33925.34972.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,692.2519,647.8720,642.17
Equity Value (M)21,730.2622,793.8323,899.33
Shares Outstanding (M)212.30212.30212.30
Fair Value$102.36$107.37$112.57
Upside / Downside1.96%6.95%12.14%

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