Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Jet2 plc (JET2.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Travel ServicesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$176.30 - $842.49$383.98
Multi-Stage$92.20 - $100.96$96.50
Blended Fair Value$240.24
Current Price$12.39
Upside1,838.99%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS15.31%22.36%0.140.120.030.000.000.070.060.040.030.02
YoY Growth--22.48%303.13%0.00%0.00%-100.00%18.32%63.75%21.21%43.48%9.52%
Dividend Yield--1.14%0.80%0.22%0.00%0.00%1.25%0.75%0.43%0.57%0.31%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)950.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)57.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)892.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)190.04118.7871.27
Cash Retained (M)892.80892.80892.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-190.04-118.78-71.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)702.76774.03821.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)224.30224.30224.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.133.453.66
LTM Dividend per Share0.260.260.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.133.453.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.393.713.92
WACC / Discount Rate7.53%7.53%7.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$176.30$383.98$842.49
Upside / Downside1,322.88%2,999.13%6,699.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)950.201,011.961,077.741,147.791,222.401,301.861,340.91
Payout Ratio6.04%22.83%39.62%56.42%73.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)57.40231.06427.05647.54894.901,171.671,240.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.53%7.53%7.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)212.86214.88216.90
Year 2 PV (M)362.44369.35376.32
Year 3 PV (M)506.30520.84535.65
Year 4 PV (M)644.61669.40694.90
Year 5 PV (M)777.52815.07854.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,177.3719,055.3519,966.92
Equity Value (M)20,681.1121,644.8822,644.75
Shares Outstanding (M)224.30224.30224.30
Fair Value$92.20$96.50$100.96
Upside / Downside644.17%678.85%714.83%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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