Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Jensen-Group N.V. (JEN.BR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$393.38 - $1,817.52$886.63
Multi-Stage$252.81 - $277.08$264.72
Blended Fair Value$575.67
Current Price$53.60
Upside974.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-1.22%14.07%0.770.420.410.250.000.820.820.410.330.33
YoY Growth--85.07%2.08%60.45%0.00%-100.00%0.00%100.00%25.01%0.45%57.94%
Dividend Yield--1.78%1.25%1.54%0.95%0.00%2.36%2.41%1.03%0.95%1.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)87.91
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)70.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.5810.996.59
Cash Retained (M)70.9670.9670.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.58-10.99-6.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)53.3759.9764.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.549.549.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.606.296.75
LTM Dividend per Share1.781.781.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.606.296.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.378.078.53
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate4.58%5.58%6.58%
Fair Value$393.38$886.63$1,817.52
Upside / Downside633.92%1,554.16%3,290.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)87.9192.8297.99103.46109.23115.33118.79
Payout Ratio19.29%33.43%47.57%61.71%75.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.9631.0346.6263.8582.86103.79109.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate4.58%5.58%6.58%
Year 1 PV (M)28.8529.1229.40
Year 2 PV (M)40.3041.0741.85
Year 3 PV (M)51.3152.8054.31
Year 4 PV (M)61.9164.3166.79
Year 5 PV (M)72.1075.6279.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,156.582,261.682,370.84
Equity Value (M)2,411.062,524.612,642.46
Shares Outstanding (M)9.549.549.54
Fair Value$252.81$264.72$277.08
Upside / Downside371.67%393.88%416.94%

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