Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Inchcape plc (INCH.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - DealershipsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$28.66 - $57.87$39.97
Multi-Stage$30.77 - $33.69$32.20
Blended Fair Value$36.09
Current Price$7.26
Upside397.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.87%6.08%0.360.310.220.130.000.270.280.250.220.22
YoY Growth--14.84%44.31%69.92%0.00%-100.00%-4.08%12.17%13.86%-0.99%11.78%
Dividend Yield--4.66%4.37%2.64%1.40%0.00%3.82%5.10%3.16%3.14%2.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)683.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)253.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)430.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)136.7885.4951.29
Cash Retained (M)430.80430.80430.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-136.78-85.49-51.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)294.02345.31379.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)409.55409.55409.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.720.840.93
LTM Dividend per Share0.620.620.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.720.840.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.341.461.54
WACC / Discount Rate7.91%7.91%7.91%
Growth Rate3.10%4.10%5.10%
Fair Value$28.66$39.97$57.87
Upside / Downside294.82%450.61%697.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)683.90711.95741.16771.56803.21836.16861.24
Payout Ratio37.01%47.61%58.21%68.80%79.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)253.10338.94431.39530.86637.76752.54796.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.91%7.91%7.91%
Growth Rate3.10%4.10%5.10%
Year 1 PV (M)311.08314.10317.12
Year 2 PV (M)363.40370.48377.64
Year 3 PV (M)410.44422.50434.79
Year 4 PV (M)452.57470.39488.72
Year 5 PV (M)490.14514.37539.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,573.4611,096.2711,639.56
Equity Value (M)12,601.1013,188.1213,797.39
Shares Outstanding (M)409.55409.55409.55
Fair Value$30.77$32.20$33.69
Upside / Downside323.81%343.55%364.04%

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