Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd (HRON.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,746.87 - $2,630.06$2,164.18
Multi-Stage$2,269.04 - $2,486.96$2,375.94
Blended Fair Value$2,270.06
Current Price$2,530.00
Upside-10.27%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.28%13.98%41.1442.6444.1127.5711.0322.0622.0611.0511.1211.12
YoY Growth---3.51%-3.34%59.99%149.99%-49.99%0.00%99.67%-0.65%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.97%2.22%2.77%1.28%0.76%1.55%1.33%0.63%0.88%1.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)72.23
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14.83
(=) Cash Retained (M)57.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.459.035.42
Cash Retained (M)57.4057.4057.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.45-9.03-5.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)42.9548.3751.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.360.360.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share119.11134.14144.15
LTM Dividend per Share41.1241.1241.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share119.11134.14144.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend160.24175.26185.27
WACC / Discount Rate9.82%9.82%9.82%
Growth Rate0.59%1.59%2.59%
Fair Value$1,746.87$2,164.18$2,630.06
Upside / Downside-30.95%-14.46%3.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)72.2373.3774.5475.7276.9378.1580.49
Payout Ratio20.53%34.43%48.32%62.21%76.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14.8325.2636.0247.1158.5570.3374.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.82%9.82%9.82%
Growth Rate0.59%1.59%2.59%
Year 1 PV (M)22.7723.0023.23
Year 2 PV (M)29.2829.8730.46
Year 3 PV (M)34.5335.5736.63
Year 4 PV (M)38.7040.2641.87
Year 5 PV (M)41.9144.0446.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)651.01684.01718.35
Equity Value (M)818.20856.75896.78
Shares Outstanding (M)0.360.360.36
Fair Value$2,269.04$2,375.94$2,486.96
Upside / Downside-10.31%-6.09%-1.70%

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