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HMC Capital Limited (HMC.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$142.70 - $286.72$268.70
Multi-Stage$43.47 - $47.63$45.51
Blended Fair Value$157.10
Current Price$5.10
Upside2,980.44%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019
DPS84.63%0.00%0.510.110.100.090.100.020.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--357.18%15.91%3.53%-5.09%312.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--9.94%1.58%1.89%2.05%1.79%0.86%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)543.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)64.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)479.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)108.7067.9440.76
Cash Retained (M)479.02479.02479.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-108.70-67.94-40.76
(=) Excess Retained (M)370.31411.08438.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)377.00377.00377.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.981.091.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.170.170.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.981.091.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.151.261.33
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$142.70$268.70$286.72
Upside / Downside2,698.03%5,168.54%5,521.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)543.52578.85616.47656.54699.22744.67767.01
Payout Ratio11.87%27.49%43.12%58.75%74.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)64.50159.15265.82385.70520.03670.20709.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)148.23149.64151.05
Year 2 PV (M)230.62235.02239.45
Year 3 PV (M)311.68320.63329.74
Year 4 PV (M)391.42406.48421.96
Year 5 PV (M)469.87492.56516.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,836.0415,552.6316,296.64
Equity Value (M)16,387.8717,156.9517,954.97
Shares Outstanding (M)377.00377.00377.00
Fair Value$43.47$45.51$47.63
Upside / Downside752.34%792.34%833.84%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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