Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Société Fermière du Casino Municipal de Cannes (FCMC.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Gambling, Resorts & CasinosSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,297.55 - $7,991.03$5,809.65
Multi-Stage$5,656.89 - $6,205.79$5,926.15
Blended Fair Value$5,867.90
Current Price$1,490.00
Upside293.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.0089.080.000.000.0064.871.571.721.587.39
YoY Growth---100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%4,038.19%-8.96%8.98%-78.61%604.12%
Dividend Yield--0.00%5.12%0.00%0.00%0.00%4.05%0.11%0.12%0.13%0.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)46.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)33.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.345.843.50
Cash Retained (M)33.2033.2033.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.34-5.84-3.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)23.8627.3629.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.160.160.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share147.25168.86183.27
LTM Dividend per Share83.2783.2783.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share147.25168.86183.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend230.52252.13266.54
WACC / Discount Rate7.35%7.35%7.35%
Growth Rate1.88%2.88%3.88%
Fair Value$4,297.55$5,809.65$7,991.03
Upside / Downside188.43%289.91%436.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)46.6948.0349.4250.8452.3153.8255.43
Payout Ratio28.90%41.12%53.34%65.56%77.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13.4919.7526.3633.3340.6948.4451.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.35%7.35%7.35%
Growth Rate1.88%2.88%3.88%
Year 1 PV (M)18.2218.4018.58
Year 2 PV (M)22.4322.8723.32
Year 3 PV (M)26.1726.9527.74
Year 4 PV (M)29.4730.6431.85
Year 5 PV (M)32.3633.9835.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)787.93827.37868.37
Equity Value (M)916.58960.211,005.52
Shares Outstanding (M)0.160.160.16
Fair Value$5,656.89$5,926.15$6,205.79
Upside / Downside279.66%297.73%316.50%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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