Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Evrofarma S.A. (EVROF.AT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.16 - $57.92$22.57
Multi-Stage$8.53 - $9.35$8.93
Blended Fair Value$15.75
Current Price$2.10
Upside650.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.050.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.810.500.30
Cash Retained (M)3.023.023.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.81-0.50-0.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.212.512.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.6813.6813.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.160.180.20
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.160.180.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.240.260.27
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate4.11%5.11%6.11%
Fair Value$11.16$22.57$57.92
Upside / Downside431.30%974.62%2,657.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4.044.244.464.694.925.185.33
Payout Ratio25.28%38.22%51.17%64.11%77.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.021.622.283.003.794.664.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate4.11%5.11%6.11%
Year 1 PV (M)1.511.521.54
Year 2 PV (M)1.982.022.06
Year 3 PV (M)2.432.502.57
Year 4 PV (M)2.862.973.09
Year 5 PV (M)3.273.433.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)104.61109.73115.05
Equity Value (M)116.66122.17127.90
Shares Outstanding (M)13.6813.6813.68
Fair Value$8.53$8.93$9.35
Upside / Downside306.20%325.40%345.34%

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