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Definitive Analysis

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Evli Oyj (EVLI.HE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$63.99 - $245.32$183.36
Multi-Stage$31.75 - $34.65$33.17
Blended Fair Value$108.26
Current Price$19.55
Upside453.78%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%20.90%1.121.110.930.640.560.000.000.340.280.31
YoY Growth--1.66%19.37%45.40%13.73%0.00%0.00%-100.00%20.73%-11.20%86.54%
Dividend Yield--6.19%5.85%5.09%3.12%3.46%0.00%0.00%3.55%4.50%4.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)33.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)31.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.744.212.53
Cash Retained (M)2.502.502.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.74-4.21-2.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)-4.24-1.71-0.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)27.3227.3227.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.16-0.060.00
LTM Dividend per Share1.141.141.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.16-0.060.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.991.081.14
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$63.99$183.36$245.32
Upside / Downside227.33%837.88%1,154.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)33.7035.8938.2240.7143.3546.1747.56
Payout Ratio92.58%92.07%91.55%91.03%90.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)31.2033.0434.9937.0639.2441.5543.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)30.5530.8431.13
Year 2 PV (M)29.9230.4931.07
Year 3 PV (M)29.3030.1431.00
Year 4 PV (M)28.6929.8030.93
Year 5 PV (M)28.1029.4530.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)720.69755.50791.65
Equity Value (M)867.26906.23946.64
Shares Outstanding (M)27.3227.3227.32
Fair Value$31.75$33.17$34.65
Upside / Downside62.38%69.68%77.24%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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